Providence
W-L: (12-25) PR = 93.8764Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 927 H Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 6- 1 1003 H Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 5 1004 A Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 0- 5 1010 A Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 0- 4 1011 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 1- 5 1017 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 2- 1 1018 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 0- 3 1024 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 7- 6 1025 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 1- 5 1031 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 3- 2 1101 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 1- 1 1107 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 4 1108 H New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 5- 1 1114 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 0- 3 1115 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 1- 3 1121 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 1- 4 1122 H Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 2- 2 1129 A Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 3- 2 1205 H Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 2 1205 H Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 0- 6 1206 A Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 2 102 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 4 103 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 0- 5 109 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 5 116 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 2- 8 119 A Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 2- 4 123 A Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 1- 2 123 A Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 1- 2 124 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 0- 3 130 A Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 4- 1 131 A Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 206 H Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 2 207 A Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 2- 3 213 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 2- 1 214 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 3- 2 214 H Franklin Pierce EWHA (23-15, 94.0) 1- 5 220 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 1- 3 221 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 4 225 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
927 H Sacred Heart 6- 1 5 1 + 4.00
1003 H Quinnipiac 2- 5 -3 -3 0.21
1004 A Quinnipiac 0- 5 -5 -4 -1.01
1010 A Northeastern 0- 4 -4 -3 -0.91
1011 H Boston College 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.53
1017 H Clarkson 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.29
1018 H Clarkson 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.71
1024 A St. Thomas 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.68
1025 A St. Thomas 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.32
1031 H Maine 3- 2 1 0 1.25
1101 H Maine 1- 1 0 0 0.25
1107 A New Hampshire 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.27
1108 H New Hampshire 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.94
1114 A Princeton 0- 3 -3 -3 0.40
1115 A Princeton 1- 3 -2 -3 1.40
1121 A Boston University 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.22
1122 H Boston University 2- 2 0 0 -0.01
1129 A Brown 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.36
1205 H Merrimack 3- 2 1 1 0.11
1205 H Stonehill 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.67
1206 A Merrimack 3- 2 1 0 0.89
102 H Connecticut 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.45
103 A Connecticut 0- 5 -5 -3 -1.67
109 H Northeastern 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.69
116 A Boston College 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.75
119 A Yale 2- 4 -2 -3 1.49
123 A Holy Cross 1- 2 -1 -1 0.37
123 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.26
124 H Holy Cross 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.42
130 A Vermont 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.18
131 A Vermont 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.18
206 H Connecticut 1- 2 -1 -3 1.55
207 A Merrimack 2- 3 -1 0 -1.11
213 A Boston College 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.25
214 H Holy Cross 3- 2 1 -1 1.58
214 H Franklin Pierce 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.23
220 A Boston University 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.22
221 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 -2 0.31
225 A Boston University 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 H Stonehill 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.67 116 A Boston College 2- 8 -6 -1 -- -4.75 214 H Franklin Pierce 1- 5 -4 0 -- -4.23 1011 H Boston College 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.53 1121 A Boston University 1- 4 -3 -1 - -2.22 123 A Post 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.26 124 H Holy Cross 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.42 225 A Boston University 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H New Hampshire 5- 1 4 -1 ++ 4.94 130 A Vermont 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.18 927 H Sacred Heart 6- 1 5 1 + 4.00 1017 H Clarkson 2- 1 1 -2 + 3.29 1024 A St. Thomas 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.68 1129 A Brown 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.36 131 A Vermont 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.18 213 A Boston College 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 6- 1 -6.64 1.37 -0.39 0.94 1.83
3 H Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 2- 5 -2.42 5.58 -0.39 0.94 -1.32
3 A Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 0- 5 -2.42 5.58 0.39 0.94 -0.95
3 A Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 0- 4 -3.32 4.68 0.39 0.94 -1.38
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 1- 5 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.94 -2.61
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.94 8.01
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 0- 3 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.94 -1.75
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 7- 6 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.94 8.75
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 1- 5 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.94 -1.57
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 3- 2 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 0.94 4.18
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 1- 1 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 0.94 0.00
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 4 -4.69 3.31 0.39 0.94 -2.02
3 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 5- 1 -4.69 3.31 -0.39 0.94 5.48
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 0- 3 -3.01 4.99 0.39 0.94 -1.23
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 1- 3 -3.01 4.99 0.39 0.94 -1.23
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 1- 4 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.94 -2.46
3 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 2- 2 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 0.94 0.00
3 A Brown (18-15, 95.8) 3- 2 -4.06 3.94 0.39 0.94 8.14
3 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 2 -6.52 1.48 -0.39 0.94 2.04
3 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 0- 6 -6.30 1.70 -0.39 0.94 -3.14
3 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 3- 2 -6.52 1.48 0.39 0.94 3.51
3 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 4 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 0.94 -1.63
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 0- 5 -3.08 4.92 0.39 0.94 -1.26
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.94 -1.75
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 2- 8 -5.16 2.84 0.39 0.94 -2.24
3 A Yale (26-10, 97.0) 2- 4 -2.92 5.08 0.39 0.94 -1.19
3 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 1- 2 -5.05 2.95 0.39 0.94 -2.19
3 A Post (11-28, 92.2) 1- 2 -7.68 1.00 0.39 0.94 -3.42
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 0- 3 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 0.94 -2.56
3 A Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 4- 1 -5.24 2.76 0.39 0.94 5.93
3 A Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 2.76 0.39 0.94 5.93
3 H Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 2 -3.08 4.92 -0.39 0.94 -1.63
3 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 2- 3 -6.52 1.48 0.39 0.94 -2.88
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 2- 1 -5.16 2.84 0.39 0.94 6.07
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 3- 2 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 0.94 4.81
3 H Franklin Pierc (23-15, 94.0) 1- 5 -5.86 2.14 -0.39 0.94 -2.94
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 1- 3 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.94 -2.46
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.94 -1.75
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 0- 3 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.94 -2.46
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14.67
|
winning pts = 64.6809 losing points = -50.0135
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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